Preliminary 2020 Hurricane Season Forecast

Preliminary 2020 Hurricane Season Forecast - Palm Beach County roofer

Preliminary 2020 Hurricane Season Forecast

You do not want to wait until a hurricane is approaching the Southeast Florida coast to call a Palm Beach County roofer about a new roof – especially this year! The Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project has released the first forecast for the 2020 Hurricane Season, and they say it’s going to be a busy one. And that means it’s going to be a busy year for roofing contractors in Boca Raton, like Integrity Roofing Company.  

2020 Hurricane Season

Hurricane season begins on June 1 and runs through Nov. 30. Colorado State University Tropical Meteorology Project, under the leadership of Dr. Phil Klotzbach, issued its Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2020 on April 2.  It calls for calls for 16 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes. (A major hurricane is defined as a hurricane that reaches Category 3, 4 or 5 strength.) 

Based on current weather conditions and ocean temperatures, the report’s authors say, “We anticipate that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. Current warm neutral ENSO conditions appear likely to transition to cool neutral ENSO or potentially even weak La Niña conditions by this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are somewhat above normal.”


Atlantic Basin Seasonal Hurricane Forecast For 2020

Forecast Parameter and 1981-2010 Average (in parentheses)

  • Named Storms (NS) (12.1) 16
  • Named Storm Days (NSD) (59.4) 80
  • Hurricanes (H) (6.4) 8
  • Hurricane Days (HD) (24.2) 35
  • Major Hurricanes (MH) (2.7) 4
  • Major Hurricane Days (MHD) (6.2) 9


Probabilities for at Least One Major Hurricane Landfall on Each of the Following Coastal Areas: 

  1. Entire continental U.S. coastline – 69% (average for last century is 52%) 
  2. U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida – 45% (average for last century is 31%) 
  3. Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville – 44% (average for last century is 30%)


This is a preliminary forecast – remember, hurricane season doesn’t start until June 1 – so it will be updated as conditions change over the coming weeks and months. But, if your roof is older or if you have concerns about its ability to protect you and your family in the event of a storm, now is the time to call Integrity Roofing Contractor of Boca Raton.

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